Jupe reevaluates his bubble
The election has left me with a sense that I’m not getting good information. I think I need to expand how I learn about current events. The first thing I did was add some of the BBC radio station to my podcast software that allows me to stream them. I have been listening to their news summary podcasts on a fairly regularly basis.
Their reporters on the ground in the USA report differently and often with a helpful perspective.
Then this morning I got up and added several apps to my tablet: a reddit app, another reddit button which takes me to their world news section, Real Clear Politics (which I have used but didn’t use much in the last year), and Vice News.
These are all in a row on my tablet home page. I already had buttons for The Guardian, Google News, Reuters, and Fairness and Accuracy in Reporting.
But I think that I need to adjust my own thinking as well. I heard Nate Silver say insistently that Trump had a 30% chance of winning. I don’t think I grasped what this and other stats were saying: that it was a close election. To me this means that there are many people outside my circles who are having a much different experience of life in America than I am. I try to be slow to lump them all into categories of terrible people like haters, white supremacists, or sexists. But maybe not slow enough. I “follow” a good number of people on Facebooger with whose politics I disagree. The discussion there is not one I have found helpful. Neither do I think it will be helpful in the future.
But what is helpful is to try to assume that many people who voted for Trump are quite possibly reasonable citizens with whom I both have some common ground and also disagree.
Right now I also find myself in disagreement with the soft left (as I think of Hilary/Sanders supporters). The demonstrations against Trump don’t make much sense to me other than as acts of venting. After Trump has done something, they would make more sense.
For example, I didn’t see any demonstration with a theme of protesting Pence’s assumption of the Trump White House transition team.
Anyway, I have resolved to watch a little more closely and try to understand a bit better what is happening.
Yesterday I picked up three books I interlibraryloaned. I am finding Stephen E. Hefling’s 1993 book, Rhythmic Alteration in 16th and 17th Century Music, very engaging. I have performance questions about this very subject. Hefling seems to have come with a calm discussion of something that has consumed many musicians in my lifetime.
Jupe makes work for himself
I am planning on making some scores for my piano trio to use at my Mom’s nursing home. It occurred to me that I could look at some sheet music of tunes and steal the bass line from them for the cello. This might make for a more listenable arrangement than asking my cellist to simply bang away on the chord root tone (which she could obtain from lead sheets….). This means spending some time making scores. But the good thing is once I do this we will have these arrangements for future nursing home type gigs.
Eileen and I stopped off at the Gathering Place (the room where we will perform) at Mom’s nursing home yesterday. I picked up three hymnals for us to play from. Then I strummed the piano. I thought it looked new as I have passed this room visiting my Mom. It is a Yahama baby grand. After querying the activities director I found out that they have had this piano for about nine months. It seems like a pretty good piano. (I rarely say things like that). It means this gig will be a bit more fun with a decent instrument.
5 Free Chrome Add-Ons That Are Crazy Useful – Medium
So. The add on “Honey” alarmingly tells the user that it needs “to read and change all of your data on the websites you visit.” I think this blanket permission while not as radical as some is still a bit worrying for such a silly little app. I declined.
Mostly election related links
Many people seem hysterical about the election. I know I am tired of it. Nevertheless I have been reading some of these links and think some of them have some pertinent stuff to say.
I Answer Your Questions About Predicting President… | Scott Adams’ Blog
Dilbert’s creator has been a Trump supporter all along. Worth reading to understand what’s going on.
I said Clinton was in trouble with the voters I represent. Democrats didn’t listen. – The Washington Post
Rep. Debbie Dingell from Michigan was talking but few were listening.
2 thoughts on “bubbles, books, music and links”
On the 30% chance from fivethirtyeight…
Last spring, I spoke with a Union Leader at the coffee hour after church and he was very clear that he thought Trump was what the country needed. That was from a Union Leader. I walked away from that conversation deeply disturbed at the prospect that the Democrats weren’t in touch with the rank and file. I kept saying that Michigan was “in play” but it seemed like the HRC people with whom I spoke didn’t get it. I offered to HRC’s campaign to drive people to the polls and to make phone calls from my home no less than three times. And each time they promised to get back to me. I told them that they needed to learn from the Bernie surprise win in the Michigan primary and not take the voters for granted. But they, apparently, thought I was crazy.
Later, a few weeks ago, I was nervous because I not only read fivethirtyeight for politics but also for baseball. There was a point during the World Series when fivethirtyeight said that the Chicago Cubs had a 30% chance of winning the series. And they won. As silly as it might be, that helped me to see how significant a 30% chance is. But, as the election came closer, even I began to listen to those who said HRC had it in the bag and that the US would never elect Trump. I entered Tuesday evening wondering if I should have bought a bottle of champagne to celebrate the inevitable victory.
Obviously, it’s easy to get caught in the echo chamber. But I really did hear Nate Silver when he kept insisting that a thirty % chance was a significant number. And nonetheless I was shocked on Tuesday night. I walked through Wednesday in shock. The only thing I could liken it to was how I felt when Dad died… stunned… numb. I’m not so numb now but I think it’s still going to take time to wrap my head around this one. I no longer feel like my country is my home. If I could see a way to do it, I would seriously pursue leaving the US and relocating to Canada, Scotland or Ireland. Sadly, I’m too connected to my children and family to make such a drastic change at this point in life. And none of those countries are interested in receiving a “pensioner” who will contribute little to their economy and become a drain on their health care system. Believe me, I’ve checked.
Thank you for this comment. It is helpful to see how you are coping with the election. I have been thinking about you and following your public statements on Facebooger (the ones I manage to find).
I’m still processing the election as well. I’m unhappy right now with the demonstrations on the left, especially ones that are already saying Trump is not their president. This seems a precise mirror of what the right has been doing for years. I think Trump’s campaign rhetoric was unthinkably venal, not to mention glib. But I still see him as unpredictable.
For my part, demonstrating will be more appropriate after he’s done something.
But as I say I’m still processing.